Most of us cannot evaluate equivocal information, which is necessary to form reliable conclusions. It is essential to project future trends and events—forward casting, as I call it. In ancient times, we read the entrails of some poor beast or threw a roll of old bones...

It's the middle of the night as I write this, and I'm deeply troubled by Trump's conviction. Why? Perhaps I'm hyper-partisan, perhaps not. I know I'll never forget where I was when I heard about his conviction and instantly knowing that I'd remember this moment...

For millennia, there were only four cultural imperatives: Grow enough food to ward off starvation Be strong enough to ward off invaders Develop a society-wide sense of self and maintain continuity Continued technological, political, and economic advancements...