The Fourth World

The Fourth World

The Fourth World

In modern history, First World nations are described as mostly democratic/capitalist countries that are politically aligned with NATO and the United States. Second World nations refer to Communist countries politically aligned with the now-defunct Soviet Union, now Russia. Lastly, Third World nations are other countries that failed to choose a political side.

Now, we see the birth of the Fourth World, a morphing of the First, Second, and Third-world countries into a new worldwide alignment. It is centered around Populist theories like Climate Change, Marxism, and a mishmash of pop culture. All of these lead us to a new kind of Secular Humanism implementing a theory of basic minimum existence for all, and an end to its arch-enemy…Individualism.

Let’s explore the well warn path of one country’s birth to maturity cycle as illustrative of what the future may hold for us:

Life evolves. People, places, and the weather change as do entire countries. Great Queens pass on. Great Britain is an excellent example of the rise and fall of one of the greatest empires the world has ever known. A thousand years ago, England was largely agrarian and London was barely a square mile in size. The entire country was home to just over a million. From those meager beginnings, England became the dominant empire for hundreds of years with the slogan “The Sun never sets on the British Empire.” At its peak, in the early 20th century Great Britain controlled about 25% of the world’s surface. What then changed that?

Three things contributed to the downfall of the British Empire:

1. Inevitably, running any vast endeavor is fraught with challenges. Eventually, these challenges overcame the political will to keep the Empire together.

2. London’s ability to effectively manage its Empire made it less profitable and particularly after the First World War, Great Britain was no longer able to muster the resources that a Great Power needed to hold its colonies together.

3. The Colonies matured. Like maturing children, many colonies were happy to take what they learned from their British Parents and make their own way forward. Some did so successfully, others not.

Are we here in the US following Great Britain’s path? The US never really had a colonial past, compared to the various European powers which had extensive holdings and who sucked the resources and treasure from their colonies.

The US stepped into the Empire’s void left by Great Britain and offered a new way forward. Our heyday likely peaked in the 1980s with President Ronald Reagan’s famous line, “Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall” speech in 1987. The Soviet Union collapsed four short years later in 1991. Arguably, this marked the day, our country lost its reason for being engaged throughout the world to the degree we once were.

Great Britain and the US share a similar experience when we were challenged to reinvent ourselves. Our country’s potential breakdown is about forty years behind that of Great Britain.

Britain did not meet the existential call to reinvent itself but instead morphed into a strong European player without a major central world role left for itself. Now we see the US following the same path of retreat.

China now sees itself as the heir apparent to world leadership, and we ignore her at our peril. China is not a “free” nation but shares many of the same aspirations and designs as Germany did with the rise of the Third Reich. Those parallels are similar in several key ways:

1. China believes itself to be “superior” to other nations of the world. Its Belt and Road Initiative is premised on a philosophy of co-opting weaker nations and exploiting them, much as did the Germans, except so far, China has found a way to conquer those assets through nonmilitary ways.

2. Germany had several inherent challenges. First, its population of 80 million was insufficient to conquer and then control the rest of Europe. China has the population needed but lacks many resources and technology necessary to pursue military conquest.

3. Germany was strategically disadvantaged by its geography. China is, as well. Not having good relations with all of its neighbors creates a tactical problem. China fears threats to its maritime trade routes within its sphere of influence. Hence, its continual push in the South China Sea to keep its enemies further away and constant bellicose threats to neutralize nations that could interfere with strategic and tactical objectives. For example, Taiwan is more than just a political issue. It is the world’s largest aircraft carrier in the event of a China war.

The West is weakening itself both politically and militarily due to its current focus on reengineering our social structure. Perhaps a temporary reprieve is visible as Europe and the US fight Russia in a kinetic war the likes of which have not been seen since WWII. Such battles remind us of what is at stake. Broadly revealed by events in Ukraine is the ridiculousness of the now popular “words are violence” as compared to real violence, death, and destruction in Ukraine. If true at all, it is only so in La-La land.

Europe and America are experiencing the cold-water treatment that only reality can bring to a philosophical fight. As has been said…” Nothing focuses the mind more intensely than the imminent prospect of death.”

So, what does a manifested Fourth World look like? It likely will look like “Perfected Equity”. Read this definition by ODI an independent, global think tank says about “Perfected Equity”:

“The intrinsic argument in favor of equity states that equity or fairness is important in and of itself. The idea of equity comes from theories of distributive justice or social justice. This looks at what things people get, and why they get them. This matters for policy because citizens can hold the state responsible for ensuring that all citizens are treated as equals and for influencing how things are distributed.

Genuine equity would mean that everyone would have equal life chances, and they would be rewarded based on merit. Your gender, where you are born or the color of your skin would not affect your quality of life or your access to opportunities. Goods and resources would be allocated according to need, rather than power.”

So here, laid bare, is the goal behind the Equity strategy. Eliminate competition for resources, including Capitalism, Individualism, and heck, even the idea of Patriotism in favor of the elimination of individual countries and borders. Freedom must be sacrificed when it conflicts with their new God “Equity.”

In reading dozens of source documents, you can see and understand that these people’s view of the world is that it should be smaller, equitable, and flat; with the richest and poorest being eliminated in yet another attempt at a form of New Communism. But, of course, this time, they think it will work.

Their motto? “Peace on Earth and goodwill towards “cisgender”.

Ladies and Gentlemen, isn’t it obvious how far we have fallen for this mind trap? Perhaps billions of people buy into the rhetoric of this new form of “Equity” Marxism, only the latest in a series of shiny objects too many of us seem to be so enamored of.

Spread the word fellow Patriots.

God bless America, its values, traditions, and especially the Ukrainian people who endure the unendurable at this moment.

Allan J. Feifer
Patriot

God Bless America!

Throwing Republicans to the Lions

Throwing Republicans to the Lions

Hello Fellow Patriots:

Biden is frequently inarticulate and famous for often going off the rails, leaving you wondering as to his possible senility. Is it just a clever tactic for the supposedly addled President or a carefully thought-out plan? Biden clearly is not as brilliant and totally clear-headed as some Democrats proclaim. And, he is not jacked up on mind-altering drugs all the time as some Republicans claim. Like all things, the truth lies somewhere in the middle.

Recently, we heard Biden start using the then-new term “MAGA Republicans” with little definition. That messaging has been sharpened quite a bit with the message: “…that MAGA Republicans allied to former President Donald Trump fit the “definition of fascism” and play a part in “attacking our democracy.” This tells me that this is not Biden making another gaff, but a midterm elections line of attack.

Even the Dems can’t completely gloss over the 74 million votes Trump received; a record, except for the official total of 81 million votes Biden garnered. I’m not a fan of polls, there are too many variables in how questions are posed and the real ringer…Republicans are less likely to participate in polling in general. Consequently, Democrats are consistently over-sampled by several percentage points vs. Republicans. Read the hyperlinked article to understand why. The upshot of published polling is that it frequently has the effect of reducing the turnout of some groups while increasing that of others.

This is by design with Democrats the masters of this technique, hands down. Here’s a good example of how voter enthusiasm is manipulated. Just over one month ago the Democrats were running for the hills, or so it was reported. With Biden’s numbers in the toilet, Democratic Strategists knew they had to change the messaging. Biden’s legislative teams have had a string of recent wins. But largely the electorate does not seem to care much about them. Evidence of that is in his Favorability ratings which have moved from 38.5% favorable up to 42.7% favorable. Still, historically low numbers. This is the definition of a bounce. Bounces, typically don’t last. The average loss of seats in the House for an incumbent President in a mid-term election is 37 seats for an unpopular President. Biden is, almost by definition, very unpopular with the majority of likely voters dinging him on almost every important subject. With the media putting out reports that the “wave” election is more likely to be a “puddle”, you are witnessing organized voter suppression in action. “Why to go and vote when your guy is so far back in the polls” is the not-so-subtle messaging.

But, there’s a new element in play today. The messaging of Extreme MAGA Republicans is designed to shame Republicans in the same manner Liz Cheney is doing so against Trump. Cheney has been nothing more than a useful shill for the Democrats. Her hatred for Trump is real, visceral, and unrelenting and trumps her supposed constitutional fears. Certainly, one would think she would understand that the House Select Committee is just using her as a hatchet woman against other frightened elected Republicans and nervous Republican voters who still believe, flaws and all, that Trump delivered more accomplishments than any other Republican President in the last hundred years. Let’s see how many Democrats back her in her next political pursuit! In the final analysis, her hatred for Trump is greater than her loyalty to her Republican conservative principles. Cheney never acknowledges the obvious imperfections of politics in an age of instant communication and focus group message testing.

The DNC realizes that they can’t let the Trump issue/factor go away or they will lose. He has to be “the” issue that every persuadable voter is hammered with over and over again. Listen to CNN, except for commercial breaks, you have a better than 75% chance of CNN talking heads expounding over something to do either with the J6 Witch Hunt or something else Trumpian. Our new Roman Games are held in a Democratic Coliseum with Trump thrown to the lions on an endless loop. A spectacle Emperor Biden must deliver to his people to divert them from focusing on, God forgive me, his record!

Think for a moment about what MAGA stands for if you’ve forgotten. Make America Great Again. Who could be against such a message, as tens of millions of Americans believe instinctively that yes, they’d like to see their country return to the way it used to be? We are unabashedly for a return to when we were at our best, even as we acknowledge the terrible mistakes that sometimes accompanied our best of times. Yes, we want to return to those days, no, we don’t intend to put people back into chains. Those genies are out of the bottle and good riddance. Democrats know that what MAGA stands for is a call to action understood by millions of activated Republicans. By parsing MAGA by adding other taglines like Dark MAGA, Ultra Maga, or MAGA Fascists, they seek to not just demonize Republicans, but employ a military-like tactic of preparing the ground ahead of the next attack in a form of psychological warfare. And, it works folks! Voter apathy ebbs and flows according to both the severity and frequency of such messaging. Democrats are spending vast amounts of money essentially running against a non-candidate for the moment. They have calculated that the worst thing that could ever happen to them would be for Emperor Biden to stand naked on his record in the cold light of day without anything to hide his utter nakedness.

Do you have to ask yourself how all this plays out? Keep in mind that Republican ideals and principles tend to be reliably conservative, almost by definition. This makes them, in the absence of some kind of major blunder…predictable. Democrats, on the other hand, are almost always in flux. Democrats live in a frat house of widely diverging underlying views. This is papered over by an almost Stalinist approach to how their people are kept in line. Only the most far-left elements of the Democrats, the so-called Squad, and their supporters toe a different line and get away with it. It’s how liberals see their children. We love our cute little socialists or precocious niellists. It’s a kind of pressure relief valve for the many leftist supporters of the party not actually in power, but see today, right now is the left’s best chance to completely overthrow democratic institutions in favor of whatever they conceive of as to what’s next. Watch those Squad members ‘go’ as their proud parents light up in awe!

But those leftists carry a terrible secret. For the Democrats, their far left is also their Kryptonite. They scare the bejesus out of not just Republicans but millions of Democrats as well. The Dems just don’t say it out loud, thinking the child they keep in the closet is a secret when it’s not. At any time, the Democrats will face their next existential crisis which will force them to try and reform it in time to limit their midterm losses. History bets against them getting such a pass.

God bless America, its values, traditions, and especially the Ukrainian people who endure the unendurable at this moment. Oh! And, my salute to Queen Elizabeth’s passing. Quite a lady!

Allan J. Feifer
Patriot

The Good Guys

The Good Guys

Hello Fellow Patriots:

One of the joys of wide distribution of my musings is the people I get to meet. The other day, two of my readers, while in general agreement with my writings, pointed out, and I’ll paraphrase, “there’s no going back to the good old days”. Where does that leave us? I wrote back that I have a different vision, a different take on what is inevitable and what’s not. I’ll start with a little personal story of what the Good Guys sometimes looked like in the past and then move on to a few answers. I hope you find this not just interesting reading, but both inspiring and useful as a roadmap.

Early in my life, I rubbed shoulders and sometimes worked with people associated with freedom movements in Latin America and beyond. Names like Air America, White Hand, Southern Air Transport, Alpha 66, and the Contras among a smorgasbord of sometimes aligned and at other times non-aligned organizations all fighting for freedom in their respective countries. Once you start living outside the bubble of the media elites telling you what to think and believe, you find out there are different truths than reported. Back in 1979, a powerful earthquake hit Managua, Nicaragua while I was there. When I got stateside, I watched an NBC story that featured a school that was badly damaged. The on-air personality said this was the scene of a deadly shootout between government forces and communist guerrillas. Except, I knew that the school had been damaged in the earthquake and not by a government assault. I reached out to NBC in New York and was astonished at their lack of interest. And so, I learned that the national media cannot be trusted.

Why is this important? The world is moved by the actions of the few, not the many. 6% of all the colonists at most fought for our future freedom in the American Revolution out of just under 3 million people living here at that time. Small numbers of people can and do make a profound impact on the rest of us. Thinking people understand that the unresolved and divisive political issues at play are a threat to our future.

There are actions and events contemplated by the ruling Democrats that threaten us at our most basic level. For example, the doubling of the size of the IRS is a profound political statement. On one hand, it’s a statement that the government needs more of your money, that even with record-high tax receipts, it’s not enough. On the other hand, It’s a statement of control. You may remember last year the Biden proposal to give the IRS routine access to your bank accounts. Public opinion was so universally against this draconian idea that it was quietly dropped. Having been stymied there, Biden and the Democrats created an omnibus spending bill that is much more about control of the populace and staying in power than anything having to do with bringing down inflation.

America is a country built on three fundamental principles:

1. Patriotism
2. Capitalism
3. Freedom

This interlocking triad only works in concert. Take away any part and the other two principles mean nothing. When you view the news through the prism of what’s important and true you see a never-ending deliberate and focused attack on traditional America. All three of these principles are systematically being driven out of our daily lives. Not everywhere, because there is resistance, but bit by bit, America’s enemies, foreign and domestic are continually taking bites out of who we are. Through the process of incrementalism, our country today is very different than a generation ago.

Patriotism is under attack. An NYT daily brief describing the J6 “attack” stated “Jan. 6 was a political action that became a federal crime, and politics infuses these cases. Some defendants have argued that they’re being persecuted for their political beliefs…” And, in a broad sense, they are. Ask yourself this question. If you believed that your government had turned on you, and elections were no longer a viable way to save your way of life; what would you do?

Our government is no longer reliably responsive to its citizens and even more important, the government selectively enforces laws and rules depending on whether you are a Republican or a Democrat. Tens of millions of people believe this. Ignore us at your peril, as Patriots are only now coming to the realization that there may be no other course before them other than to fight the tyrants.

Capitalism. Too many Americans question if Capitalism is past its prime and there is a better way forward. Here’s one popular example of the diatribe being taught in our schools today:

Capitalism is the main power behind most modern societies today. Private owners, i.e., the minority that has the hold over the greater piece of the pie create businesses and decide the means of production and the outlet for the revenues, making the economic decisions for the rest of the people (those that do the labor work).”

The problem with the above statement is its gross over-simplification. The obvious counter should be, what other system has lifted more people out of poverty and in that way enriched so many lives? The answer is of course none. A dumbed-down American education system spends more time talking in glowing terms about Nelson Mandela than it does about George Washington and Capitalism. And, every year, the telling of American history continues its march to the left with many students believing the worst, instead of the best of their native country. Heck, some schools fly Mexican flags instead of US flags! You reap what you sow!

Even Freedom is being redefined. Freedom of Speech, our ability to pray, and an entirely new class of “thought crimes” now exist as if we are living inside the book Nineteen Eighty-Four. Hate crimes are an offshoot and early warning of what is yet to come. You would have to be living under a rock if you have not heard the now-semi-official “Feelings are Violence.” “If it feels right, that’s enough,” says your newly brainwashed youngster. But a feeling is not truth.

So, Allan, where’s the uplifting hope for the future you promised? You, my readers, are those future Good Guys! An appreciable portion of the J6 defendants are the good guys. People reading conservative blogs, books and podcasts are those Good Guys. The Good Guys are the doers. They are the people who figure out tough problems and solve them! They are the entrepreneurs, professionals, and truth seekers who will become an Army of many. Already, the Democrats fear us; that’s why they call us out, prosecute us, and call us evil.

One overreach, one miscalculation by the ruling class, one more attack against our children, and an organic uprising may be inevitable. It’s happened before as the Bonus Army once marched on Washington and it will happen again. Governments that fear their citizens don’t last. The time will come once again when we’ll realize the wisdom of the Founding Fathers expressed within our Constitution and the power it vests in “We the People”, which means you and me. Never give in to those that seek to bring us low. Don’t believe their lies.

God bless America, its values, traditions, and especially the Ukrainian people who endure the unendurable at this moment.

Allan J. Feifer
Patriot

Washington is Running Out of Your Money to Spend

Washington is Running Out of Your Money to Spend

Hello Fellow Patriots:

Democrat leadership is frantic. But not for the reasons you may have heard. The just-passed Inflation Reduction Act is one of the largest revenue-raising bills ever passed. Slated to raise $725 Billion over ten years through raising the corporate minimum tax to 15%, Billions for assumed Prescription Drug pricing reforms, and $128 Billion through enhanced IRS enforcement. The promised $300 Billion debt reduction is a farce and will never happen. That’s the public face of this very misleading bill.

Let me share with you some of those mysterious moving pieces I’m always talking about. Budget tricks are legion. Let’s look under the hood at the issues at play.

Issue I: The National Debt now stands at naat about $31 Trillion and rising fast. The estimated shortfall in this year’s budget is $1.15 Trillion. Trillion-dollar budget deficits are slated to continue to rise indefinitely. When we have a deficit, as we do now, we owe that money frequently to foreign countries like China and Russia. Just as important, the change from a creditor nation to a debtor nation influences how we are perceived in the world and reduce our political capital. Keep in mind that these countries are now “investors” in our country and, that we would not like to see wholesale redemptions from them. This is self-induced blackmail. Becoming a debtor nation has no upside.

Issue II: Interest on the National Debt is swamping us. “Over the next 10 years, without any changes in current policies, CBO estimates that net interest will total $5.4 trillion and become the fastest growing component of the federal budget. In 2031, interest costs would account for 12 percent of the entire federal budget.” That is more than double the current percentage. This means there will be less money available to run our government.

Issue III: Entitlements. Entitlement spending is about to surge. Why? President Biden will have brought in somewhere between 6 to 9 million illegal immigrants by the end of his term if the current rate continues. No one knows if that rate will slow or God forbid, increase. The majority of those immigrants will likely become eligible for entitlements in one form or the other. The growth of entitlement spending was steeply up even before the border onslaught. Entitlements now make up more than 51% of the Federal Budget. This percentage is likely to increase, squeezing out other discretionary government spending and threatening national defense.

Issue IV: The number of working Americans is not growing commensurate with our population. Less than half of us work. And of those that do, older Americans are skewing historical numbers by working longer and returning to work after retirement for economic reasons. This fact is rarely tracked and is not a good sign. Millions of young people are delaying their entry into the US labor market by staying in school longer than in previous generations and on credit to boot. What is that telling us?

Issue V: The world is becoming ever more competitive. Our multinationals have sold our seed corn, i.e., our Intellectual Property to other nations, by creating Innovation Centers all over the world, staffed by local highly qualified STEM graduates as a result of America’s deficit of qualified grads. This has come to pass as we become a nation of service workers rather than the innovators we once were. Whether these Innovation Centers are owned or controlled for now by US companies does not stop technology transfer. America must critically focus on regaining our “Can Do” spirit and incentivizing work and effort; the opposite of what we do now. Our focus on social issues and a perceived climate threat see our competitors all over the world laughing at us. The United States has voluntarily given up its competitive edge. I find this stunning.

Issue VI: The US is in an expensive proxy war with Russia.
The United States has spent or committed to spending $54 billion, so far on the war. It’s an entirely different matter of the “why” and “what” for this. Just keep in mind that we are just as committed financially as we were in Afghanistan and Iraq, just in a different way.

Takeaways:

We have not been transparent with the American people. Whether it is taxes, social programs, or military adventures, the American people need to be read in. We don’t do that at our peril as it sets up a dynamic of one party criticizing the other. And, in doing so, we destroy our needed unity and are frequently forced to retreat after spending our blood and treasure. What a tragedy. While we likely won’t get to universal agreement on much, treating thinking Americans as adults is essential to the issue of trust.

We have voluntarily given up our position as number one in so very many technical and industrial areas, from building aircraft to steel making, from leading in Chemistry to mining. Decades ago, I visited a GE “lights out” dishwasher manufacturing facility. At the time, I thought that was our future. To use our advanced technology to reduce the labor content of formerly labor-intensive products. Today, those dishwashers likely are built in China or Mexico.

Certainly, the model for advanced technology factories did not play out as imagined. Our technology was up to the task; however, political factors crept in and changed the calculus. Perhaps we traded it for broader worldwide access. This has certainly been the model for many other products and services.

Why do we work against our own best interests? You only have to look at the Alinsky Model, breaking the American government financially, for that reason. Only by equalizing poverty through the destruction of existing systems can the few radical Marxist hope to reboot America’s engine into an egalitarian, socialist utopia. Beware, the powerful adherents of Mr. Alinsky which include Bill and Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Richard Cloward and Frances Fox Piven (the Cloward-Piven Strategy), Bill Ayers, Bernadine Dohrn, and Frank Marshall Davis, just to name a few.

Look over the American political landscape and view their progress visible in rampant immigration, indoctrination of our children, our young people sucking up resources as they stay home or work at menial service jobs while holding costly undergraduate and advanced degrees. Entitlements growth is out of control. People go on disability at younger and younger ages to avoid working. The entire redefining of who we are is centered on Identity Politics rather than the importance of a great work ethic, the value of free speech, and the understanding of our history. Lost along the way is the importance of “We the People” to the success of the America in which we live, faults and all.

One day, a desperate need to access more capital may find us forced to make painful choices that will inhibit our ability to govern and lead, based on historical precedents that have kept us in good stead since our founding. We are far along in a process of incremental societal and economic change that reflects our new reality as we now face what it means in practice to be a debtor nation.

God bless America, its values, traditions, and especially the Ukrainian people who endure the unendurable at this moment.

Allan J. Feifer
Patriot

War Warning

Hello Fellow Patriots:

Last week we focused on the China threat from an economic and political perspective. This week, we’ll attempt to peer into the mind of President Xi and forecast his intentions; not an easy task. It’s difficult for peace-loving Americans to believe other nations covet what we possess and do more than just look on from a distance.  We should take the lesson of Putin’s War in Ukraine as proof positive that there are those despotic leaders who are willing to set about a path of conquering other nations in the 21st Century. 

Freedom-loving people never want war. As evidence of that, in more than a thousand years no Democracy has attacked another. Up until the beginning of the Second World War, the U.S. has been protected to the East and West with the distance created by two oceans. We could absorb the first blow and have time to get ready both politically and militarily and still prevail. 

That luxury no longer exists and the likelihood of a conventional first strike at one of our outposts all over the world is more likely than you might imagine. Diplomacy has an important place in our history and practice. But you only have to look at Iran, North Korea, China, and Russia and how they use Diplomacy to enhance their ability to conduct wars of aggression and terrorism. They hide behind Diplomacy by being disingenuous and duplicitous.  China will use all the levers of Diplomatic power they have and still unsheathe its sword regularly to try and force bloodless victories through means other than actual war. This does not mean they are afraid to go to war, their calculus is that it is better to win a war without actually fighting whenever possible. 

With this caveat, let’s begin. I’ll start with a simple and fundamental truth based on history and current events:

“A nation that is unprepared for war holding a belief in the goodwill of nations, will find itself at war anyway.”

China has several restraints holding them back from obtaining its ultimate goal to be the Great Power in the World:

  1. China is the most dependent nation on earth in matters of trade. Any military actions on their part will likely result in less trade rather than more.
  2. China is keenly aware that an unstable world economy will inevitably reduce its economic output.  This restrains their militaristic designs to a degree.
  3. China’s chickens have come to roost with its well-known one-child policy that has now been modified. China has a very large and ever-expanding class of older people who live long lives and require State support.
  4. China’s recent crackdown on both capitalism and other freedoms has hastened the departure of too many of China’s best and brightest to other countries.
  5. The Renminbi, China’s currency is overleveraged. China’s propensity to build and make things that are not economically viable are vestiges of its old Command and Control economy. Regional governments, until recently, have stoked the real estate markets into something that will have consequential and negative repercussions for years to come. Read about Evergrande here to understand this issue more. 

Don’t overestimate the tendency for China to be overconfident. China has been militarily insular until recently. This translates into no real-world experience in the myriad disciplines of power projection and tactics; both strategic and tactical. It is one thing to read about the U.S. Order of Battle.  It is another thing entirely to assimilate hard-won lessons of war that then lead you to train as you intend to fight. China is counting on quantity over quality to overcome various deficits and to counter more sophisticated Western weapons, vastly better Command and Control, and advanced war-fighting doctrines.  China is also counting on its more disciplined psychology and control of its population than the West is likely to muster.

There are other important facets that we could mention, but space does not allow it here. China is by no means a paper tiger. But China lacks the battle-tested and institutional memory of what works and what doesn’t.  That is layered on top of a political system that is autocratic and hierarchal by nature.  The National People’s Congress elects a 25-member Politburo that runs the country. President Xi in actuality has not just effective control of the country, but dictatorial powers. China watchers will be looking to see if there is any effective challenge to Xi winning an unprecedented third term as president. Keep in mind that Xi is also the Communist Party leader. As I always mention, the Communist Party and the country are one in the same. 

The topic of this article is “War Warning.” Our history of relative failure on the battlefield since WWII has imbued us with a defeatist mentality. We lose because we have political leaders who don’t know how or don’t have the will to fight winning wars. Yes, war is horrific. But necessary at times to defend our freedoms.  Giving up on the use of force unilaterally makes us a target for every tinhorn dictator in the world. 

We would be unwise to become a pacifist nation as we were in the run-up to the Second World War. Public opinion is fickle. The day before Pearl Harbor, public opinion on entering the war in Europe was 84% against. The day after Pearl Harbor that number changed to 97% in favor. When Americans are up against the wall again, I would expect a similar change of heart. Surprisingly, 42% of Americans are already in favor of “direct military action” in Ukraine. While not a majority; it appears as if we are starting to wake up to the larger threats in the world. There is hope for us yet!

One does not have to be a warmonger or a ‘War Hawk’ as one friend refers to me.  You only have to have a basic understanding of geopolitical history to appreciate what all those moving pieces mean to us. America’s internal weakness and its flawed leadership, not to mention the political infighting that sees us do stupid things, is not lost on our adversaries. An illustrative example is a monstrous idea of trading an imprisoned WNBA basketball star for a convicted mass murderer, Russian arms trafficker, Viktor Bout.  This is what non-serious people do. I can be sorry for Griner but like so many other uniformed Americans, why the heck do these people go to places like Iran, Syria, Russia, and other hotspots that our State Department issues dire warnings about? 

Miscalculations cause wars. A serious and thoughtful government needs to keep pace with the changes, not in public opinion, but in the dynamics of world power, and get ahead of it.  Issues that distract us, both our government and the American people, keep us from seeing the truth that very much matters. Wishing away threats or offering appeasement only leads to worse situations. Life is not easy. Let’s not live a life of fantasy. Sooner or later, reality always catches up.

Although now disestablished, the Strategic Air Command’s motto was “Peace through Strength.” Never, in its entire history, did it drop a bomb in anger. And, this was during the Cold War, with arguably the highest tensions ever between the US and Russia. The reason why is obvious…our enemies believed we were too strong to take on. 

I hope we remember that lesson of peace through strength and demand our leaders remember it as well.

May God bless our country and help Ukraine prevail. 

Allan J. Feifer

Patriot

China Syndrome

China Syndrome

Hello Fellow Patriots:

Remember the movie “The China Syndrome”? Well, we’re not discussing that kind of nuclear meltdown today. But instead, we are discussing another kind of meltdown…economic. Most realize that China has eaten our lunch. But what most don’t know is that China was a reluctant participant early on. Every subsequent action is on us!  It was only later that American companies got greedy and decided to trade their patriotism for corporate growth. How else to explain the wholesale exodus of American jobs and technology overseas; particularly to China? The reason: to make our goods more competitive on the world market by utilizing cheaper labor which results in higher corporate profits.  China is not just another country among many who got America’s manufacturing jobs; it was THE country, the number one country that took our jobs. China has cornered 28.7% of all manufacturing jobs in the world. Think about it for a moment. 

Today, we’ll talk about how that came about and discover, in the process, how both corporations and our government put blinders on to make a bargain with the devil. When you look at the logic of trade with China, you realize quickly that our motives were capitalistic, but we neglected to understand the ramifications of building up a country that one day, was likely not to just be a rival, but an adversary, a Marxist Communist adversary. Someone was asleep at the switch as this trainwreck slowly unfolded over decades.

On a secret trip to China in 1971, it was Henry Kissinger, President Richard Nixon’s Secretary of State who got the ball rolling. The strategy was twofold:

  1. To fracture the relationship between the Soviet Union and China, which did happen
  2. To attempt to bring the world’s most populous nation into an alliance with the West, both economically and hopefully and in that way, perhaps naively, change their system of government.  At this point, we can state…not so much.

Alfred Coucher, an old China watcher said “In 1978, two years after the death of Mao, and during the period in which the ‘four Asian Tigers’ began their journey to prosperity, Deng Xiaoping initiated policies designed to reduce dependency on state ownership and central planning, and introduce private incentive to revive the Chinese Economy which had been dormant since Mao initiated comprehensive nationalization in 1956.”

And so began a period of nearly 40 years that unleashed economic reforms in China. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) encouraged capitalism as a way to prevent the possibility of a populace in revolt who had experienced a severe famine, stark living conditions, and other deprivations under Mao who killed at least 65 million Chinese.  Capitalism there helped lift hundreds of millions of people out of poverty and created trillions of dollars in wealth, but also led to rampant corruption and eroded the ideological basis for continued Communist rule.

Xi Jinping came to power in 2012 when he was elected to head the CCP. Xi lived a carefully curated life designed to assure his ascendancy to control of the CCP. In 2021 the Wall Street Journal ran an article that laid out the rationale for Xi’s change of heart. For him, the capitalistic experiment was over:

“Xi Jinping’s campaign against private enterprise, it is increasingly clear, is far more ambitious than meets the eye… He is trying to roll back China’s decades-long evolution toward Western-style capitalism and put the country on a different path entirely”

The question is why now? To be blunt, the West’s main usefulness is no longer as operative. Thanks to the West and especially the US, China has been transformed from an agrarian economy to a modern high-tech powerhouse. They accomplished that through voluntary and forced technology transfer from Western nations and then, for what they could not get through that avenue, through the theft of intellectual property. It is that IP issue that is of utmost importance today.

The West’s IP is our secret sauce. It is the only thing that China does not already possess. China has an estimated 25,000 spies in the US. Most of them are stealing not only military but economic secrets and technology. They are Vampires sucking our lifeblood. We should see this as economic warfare just short of actual war and thus respond accordingly. 

The biggest question is, what happens when they have sucked us dry? Time will tell, but there are many signs that this won’t end well.  One only has to read the current news of China’s military current encircling Taiwan, ostensibly as punishment for Speaker Pelosi’s visit. It is not.  I believe that was only a convenient tripwire for actions already in the pipeline. 

The American Enterprise Institute has stated that China sponsors the theft of IP because its main challenge is a lack of Chinese innovation. Beijing’s preference for large firms and state funding at the expense of genuine competition ensures it will struggle in key areas, from aircraft development to shale. The main challenge is China’s acquisition of IP and the use of regulatory and financial subsidies to develop products from that IP is to drive the U.S. out of global markets. 

You can read article after article explaining how China has manipulated foreign companies by promising large orders in exchange for technology transfer. 

At the moment, China is withholding fulfillment of orders placed with Boeing and promised under President Trump, even as China just ordered another 292 aircraft from Airbus last month.

China made that deal with the Trump administration back in 2017 to buy 300 Boeing jets. China, as it frequently does, is using this order for political leverage against the US. This is par for the course with them. China became the last major nation to recertify the Boeing Max just last month. Their delay in recertifying was a studied tactic, not to gain concessions from Boeing, but rather from our government. Whether we can get any on-order aircraft delivered is subject to the approval of the CCP. China only lives up to its word when it is good for them.

For those readers that don’t fully understand it, there is no Chinese government, there is only the Communist Party instructing government functionaries on what to do. The CCP requires all government entities, companies, and even individuals to fully follow its directions, mandates, and orders regardless of the law or China’s Constitution. End of any discussion. 

CCP policy is ultimately anti-American, so our ability to either influence or even require compliance with written agreements is limited. China is a monolithic entity that Americans can’t comprehend. Everyone in China is watched, evaluated and in the end, freedoms recently received are being rescinded.  No court or politician can offer redress. Look up Jack Ma for a better understanding of what can happen to someone who strays too far from government edicts. An order from Xi can be compared to an order from God himself. China shoots or imprisons those that dare to disagree. 

Understand what we are up against. There is no trying to outfox this fox. As a country, we hue to a set of rules that many of our adversaries laugh off as quite quaint. China is playing chess. We dare not allow them to Checkmate us.

Allan J. Feifer

Patriot

 

Imperium

Imperium

Hello Fellow Patriots:

Let me ask you a question. Is our form of government different today than let’s say our government 50 years ago, 100 years, or even back to our founding?

Sure, it is. Our Founding Fathers would not recognize what we’ve done with their “Perfect Vision.” While technically we have the Constitutional Republic and not a Democracy, the drumbeat of the New Left is decidedly pro-pseudo-Democratic as they fight to redefine us. And in doing so, a new Political Super Class of elected officials has formed that no longer respects the conventions, goals, and history that saw our country become the only free Superpower on Earth. Citizens like you and me stand in the way of their New World view. Liberals (Marxists) are gunning for us. The Left is clearly articulating a message for those that stand in their way; it says loudly and clearly…Drop Dead!

Calls for the end of the Electoral College in favor of popular vote elections are but just one example of this new worldview. Another example is a rabid attempt to kill the Senate system of requiring 60 votes to pass legislation. Those are perhaps, the two best-known battles. But, in a myriad of other actions and reactions, our long successful system is under great strain. We return to the same subjects over and over again because the cumulative effects of these anti-democratic practices are eating us alive from the inside out. Constant bickering prevents us from coalescing around common and vital essential truths necessary for our survival.

The new Government Cabal which henceforth, I will call the ‘Imperium,’ is something different than we’ve seen before. There have always been factions, but we’ve been Americans first, especially during times of strife. Not as in America First, but Americans with a common heritage, value system, and shared aspirations.  Sadly, that’s what has changed and is what I believe to be the root cause of the fractious divisions within our system. 

I’ll stay away today from any mention of enemies, conspiracies, or the reasons this conflict commenced. Instead, we’ll just lay bare the issues that divide us and, that we as a society must come to peace with.  We must also relearn and refocus on several critical truths if we are to survive as a recognizable vestige of our former selves. Recognizable in terms of six basic constructs that define us, that I call:

The Uniqueness of America

  1. Freedom from Government Oppression—our government now has the power to intrude in everything we do. The highest achievement of our country should be restraint in the use of its unlimited powers on its people except in support of these enumerated truths. The government has overreached and violated the Constitution by assuming the majority of powers originally reserved for the States and intruded too far into the everyday lives of its citizens.
  2. Individual Freedom to Succeed or Fail on our own.  We have tried to create a benevolent Government that has created a safety net for tens of millions. In the process, we have taken away the principal impetus that each individual requires to learn, fail, try again and then flourish. Failure, ugly failure is as American as Apple Pie. A benevolent government winds up being a tyrannical government such as we have today, by eliminating an ability to fail.
  3. An Open Door Policy for immigrants who desire to become Americans cannot be unlimited.  How painfully we hurt all those souls who do not and cannot live as we do. Millions of caring Americans together allow us to be the most generous nation in the world.
    The beauty of our American system is not that we can take in a billion poor souls and bring them here. No, the beauty of our system is how the American people have changed the world and created, through our economic vitality, hundreds of millions of middle-class individuals.  We then helped to provide clean water and food for many millions more. Opening the door and bringing them here, as Biden is doing, won’t fix economic disparities. Already it is well known that a majority of the immigrants coming here illegally will never assimilate into our country or benefit our country economically; they’ll just drain us of our treasure and our unity. For the first time in a very long time, perhaps forever, it is not the intent of many immigrants to assimilate. You see this play out everywhere with highly concentrated immigrant areas all over the country.  People continue to speak their native tongue and the signage in areas where they live is printed in a plethora of foreign languages. Why don’t we demand that you learn English if you come here? It’s certainly not racist; it’s both essential and practical.Did you know that you can take the Citizenship Test without speaking English? There are many exceptions to the requirement to have to learn English.
  4. A Government that Creates the Conditions for Success.  Our government has forgotten its central purpose, which is to aid its people in the pursuit of happiness. And, in doing so, now has decided it will intervene in our system of free markets to engineer social outcomes. Does anyone truly believe that the government, based on its past actions, can create laws, policies, rules, and incentives that will do anything except distort markets and healthy behaviors?Good Government should be a cheerleader for mostly economic issues, leaving social issues to individuals, religious organizations, and private charity whenever possible. In matters of life and safety, the government must tread carefully on peoples’ lives. Too heavy a touch negatively influences behavior to the point of creating more of the hopelessness, poverty, and negative behavior that you can see oozing out of our pores today. The hundreds of thousands of government workers who dole out the billions of dollars are also ultimately unproductive and yet another drag on our society.  Not everyone can work for the government.  Someone has to work productively, pay taxes, and create new wealth that is vital to our future. Government is increasingly hostile to the creation of wealth. You see scheme after scheme all trying to figure out how to make someone who creates wealth “pay their fair share.” Never is it stated that too many of us pay little or nothing in taxes and the number of takers grows daily in an unholy cabal between those takers and an ever-growing government.
  5. A Military that Protects our Security, Especially Trade Routes. It’s a cold cruel world out there. With little in the way of brotherly goodwill, and no other democracy able to step up to the plate, our military is all that stands between us and foreign domination. It’s that simple. Warriors are a different breed. They can’t be compared to career civil servants. Those that we ask to stand watch over us as we sleep should not be subjects for social experimentation.   Keep your cotton-picking hands off our men and women who may someday be called to lay down their life for you.
  6. The Right to Practice our Religion and a requirement to be an Ethical Nation Our most fundamental right has been completely turned on its head. The Founding Fathers had it right. While our government can and must be secular, the principles that govern our every move must be founded on the Judeo-Christian origins we brought to the New World.  They gird our nation and make us stand out from so many others. A history of Morality and Ethics has been completely undercut by minority groups that seek an atheist country; God forbid that happens.  A judgment-free country is nothing more than a collection of individuals wandering in the desert. Good morals, ethics, and an abiding belief in God must continue to be our foundational bedrock.

I hope you are still reading as I bring this piece to a conclusion. America is worth fighting for and even dying for. But only if we stay true to our origin and our true mission. What mission you may ask? We are the only nation that has and still can make the world a better place. Our fundamental enemy is no longer China or Russia. It is ourselves and the ‘Imperium’ we have somehow allowed becoming our own ruthless Dictator. WE THE PEOPLE are our most sacred superpower. Never forget that truth and always believe that WE THE PEOPLE can move not just mountains, but entire worlds when we stay true to our miraculous beginnings.  There is no backstop to us. We rise or fall on what we do next.

Allan J. Feifer

Patriot

 

 

America is Thinking

The vast majority of Americans have little interest in politics, but a great deal of interest in their daily lives. The US has historically averaged one recession every twelve years. Some of those recessions have been mild, while some have had quite a sting, but none have ever been declared a Depression since the granddaddy of them all back in 1929. It’s been 93 years since the last one. Like a major California earthquake, we would seem to be overdue.

I don’t believe we are looking at another 1929, but I’m not sure. Many structural changes have been made since then that have worked well to keep us from going completely over the cliff like the FDIC and a better understanding of how to blunt or prevent a depression by the Fed. What can cause a Depression?

  • Burdensome government regulations that reduce productivity and force bad choices
  • A Labor Participation Rate that is out of balance with the needs of the country
  • High Taxes that disincentive investment
  • Financial Contractions that encourage people to spend less and save more
  • Overly tight credit puts a brake on investment
  • Trade Restrictions that discourage business
  • A lack of confidence by our citizens leads to even greater uncertainty
  • Wages demands over what the market mandates
  • Energy cost and availability are out of balance with society’s needs

Where we are now:

  • Government Regulations, after a period of decline under Trump, are now accelerating to achieve desired social outcomes of this administration.
  • The Labor Participation Rate (LPR) is currently at 62.3%. vs. a historic average of approximately 66%. The LPR has been on a downward slide since 2008. We don’t yet have a good understanding as to why people are not working as much as they used to. There is no one single answer but we need five million more workers today.
  • Biden has promoted the theme of income inequality by using the ruse of wealthy individual’s tax rates should be greater than that of their secretary. What he never says is that the top 10% pay 71% of all Federal Income Tax and that the bottom 50% essentially pays nothing.
  • The issue of energy is scary. It would be desirable to have clean, economical, and reliable renewable energy sources vs. fossil fuels. But, we’re just not there yet. $60,000 electric cars (the average) make up less than 1% of vehicles. Wind and solar make up only 7% of our power. We are 20-30 years away from any semblance of the carbon-neutral world envisioned by President Biden. But his policies strangling fossil fuels today may collapse our economy in the near term.

The main lever that government uses to influence, direct, incentivize and punish is the U.S. Tax Code. As boring as the subject is, everyone should have an understanding of the importance of the Tax Code to their safety, prosperity, and freedom. I’ll try and be brief.

Ever hear someone say that you could do your taxes on a postcard if the only two lines were how much did you make and a number to multiply that to figure your taxes? The Federal Tax code is 74,608 pages. That is 187 times greater than it was 100 years ago. The primary driver of this growth in complexity is government meddling. Some meddling might be good, such as the encouragement of family-friendly tax incentives to achieve important societal purposes. However, beyond that, politics and specifically special interests have driven the tax code into something altogether different. Today, the tax code motivates or dissuades all kinds of actions and activities it has no business doing and frequently promotes anti-social values. And, once inscribed in the code, it stays forever! So, why haven’t we updated a tax code that is the brunt of jokes for its complexities and inequities for far too many? Because Congress wants it that way, that’s why!

Let’s talk about what the purpose of a well-written tax code should be. There are two major purposes as I see it:

A. Raise revenue to run the country
B. Encourage positive economic outcomes

The first is obvious, the second tends to be misunderstood. In a capitalist country, the government is largely supposed to step aside and allow a business to succeed or fail on its own merits. In attempting to achieve certain social outcomes through taxation we interfere with that primary focus. Here’s one example that bothers me at the moment. A Windfall Profits tax for the oil industry is being proposed by Biden. That’s government substituting its knowledge (or more likely, done for political gain) for that of the market. It is a distortion of the free exercise of capitalism. There are many examples of the tax code codifying advantages for some and creating barriers to entry for others.

You and I see the consequences of this not-so-subtle manipulation of free markets as artificial market volatility. This happens when people do things in finance, business, and investment primarily for its tax implications and not because it was/is good business. I used to be involved in apartment ownership. There was a time when tons of money was available to build unneeded apartments back in the 70s because of how owners could take down their losses in an accelerated manner. The law was changed and all of sudden, fewer apartments were built, leading to higher rental rates and a lot less construction of new units.

Government meddling in tax codes caused some of the worst recessions in recent memory:

“The last two recessions happened due to the bursting of two asset bubbles: first the dot-com stock market bubble in the early 2000s and then the housing bubble starting in 2006.”

Allan’s rule 19 is “that whatever you encourage or subsidize you get more of.” In the dot-com bubble tax codes favored quick write-offs which led to unwise investments:

“Capital Gains Taxes and Stock Return Volatility: Evidence from the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997"

In the housing bubble, the apparent cause was that “debt grew quickest among borrowers with low credit scores” Why did lenders loan money to borrowers with no proven ability or means of likely paying back their mortgages? Back then it was the creation of a truly Frankenstein construct of financial derivatives called “Strips”. Here’s a great current example: Biden-⁠Harris Administration Announces Immediate Steps to Increase Affordable Housing Supply. Admirable goals, lamentable outcomes. This initiative includes no less than five tax incentives designed to get more people into homes. Great! But the result will be that quite a few of these homes will be lost due to foreclosure or will require additional public support to keep their owners in these homes. Over 11 million people spend more than 50% of their income on housing. That is unsustainable and is the norm, rather than the exception for people in so-called “affordable housing.” Nearly half of American workers cannot rent an apartment or own a home on their own. Manipulation of the tax code cannot change the calculus of housing costs outpacing income.

My conclusion is that a focus on tax codes to achieve good, but non-economic goals is a fool’s errand that invites gaming of the system and frequently never achieves the originally stated goals. Congress is ill-equipped to assess the ramifications of jiggering a system of taxation that ultimately promotes income inequality instead of fixing it.

Our inevitable conclusion is that governments cause recessions and depressions through their meddling in tax policy to achieve specific social, economic, and political goals more often than geo-political events. I don’t foresee Congress changing its stripes anytime soon. This virtually locks us into a boom-and-bust cycle that never ends. Is there a better system that would prevent this? No. But, there is one thing that could limit the meddling going forward.

Congress gets together in a truly bipartisan fashion on quite a few things. Then the horse-trading commences with various amendments tacked on that frequently have nothing to do with the bill and that’s the end of bipartisanship. You can also blame the use of omnibus legislation which was rare in the past and is now the norm and a rather stark difference in vision between the two parties, which I will characterize as Conservative vs. very Liberal. Yes, Democrats have changed the most in the last 60 years. Consider that President Kennedy today would undoubtedly be considered a Conservative Republican if he was alive today.

I think all of the foregoing as being both important to understand and to guide us as we make our political choices moving forward. Think long-term, not short-term. And, always be positive. And, vote!

God Bless America and especially Ukraine at this time of genocide and war that sees no end in sight.

Allan J. Feifer

Patriot

 

Tower of Babel

Tower of Babel

Every day I’m asked a simple question.  “What has happened to our country and why?”  Something to reflect on as we celebrate 246 years. It seems that I’m always answering the first part, but not really answering the second part. I’ve concentrated in my articles on the relevant facts that largely do little more than reinforce what you already probably knew. Yes, I’ve touched frequently on the subject of leadership and political gridlock which are very important to our subject, but I have not focused down on what I believe is “The” issue that we can change and that will truly make a difference.

Given that a blind person can see that we are both divided and lack focus, we know the problem, but not the solution. Even more, is the issue of agreeing on priorities. What do I mean? We need to have a societal understanding of what is important in order of importance so we can attack the problems in manageable bites. We are so married to our own personal priorities that we totally miss the big picture and can no longer focus our time and resources on what’s important.

All of us know of people and organizations singularly focused on a single issue which, to them, is the most important issue. Be it save the turtles, save the whales, or build bike trails, each has its own following, often with an almost single-minded intense focus on “their” issue. You can extend that to thousands of other special interest issues from access to public lands, to shooting rights to abortion. In this manner, we each create our own ‘Tower of Babel’.  And, like that Tower, it’s as if each of us speaks our own language that no one else can understand. We talk past each other in our daily lives. We have reached the point where we can’t come together because we no longer share a common language, which I will call the language of Community.

This is our focus issue that we’ll talk about today. It’s become apparent to me, and likely to you as well, that our various communities, individually strong, are collectively weak. There is no panacea to bringing us together into complete societal peace.  The very nature of our country has always been a rollicking, pushy, divisive, and energetic mishmash of conflicting thoughts and actions. That’s our strength. You can call it diversity, but to me, that’s tantamount to a cuss word. Let’s call it what we used to; a melting pot.

There’s a huge difference between diversity and a melting pot. A melting pot is much more like a bubbling super-hot blast furnace, where different minerals are forced to come together in a way that nature did not intend, with the final product being steel. The steel you can build with is also the steel in your spine and within our society. That process delivers the next generation of Americans that are nearly indistinguishable from one generation to another having gone through the same overall process.

A weak society is an illness. Weakness is different from compassion. Weakness is something worn around a person’s neck like a badge of honor when it really should be a badge of shame. But you can’t say that anymore for fear of offending someone and shaming them even when appropriate. Societies have always used shame to encourage conformity with societal norms.

Societal norms exist for a reason; they strengthen society and shepherd its people to do positive things. A close friend of mine heard that American workers think they are the best in the world and the most productive, while he stated that Chinese workers have a low opinion of their productivity. That’s an important distinction that got me thinking. Americans have been on a self-image tear for a generation now. It does not matter how much you produce, or how successful in life you are; it seems as if your self-image is what is important and we are being taught to decouple a lack of success in our lives from worthiness. Effectively, we’ve gotten good at lying to ourselves. That’s not good for us as individuals or for our society as a whole. We have created a trophy generation. All you have to do is show up and you’re golden.

Now that we have defined our terms of engagement, what do we do about it? First, individually, and collectively, we must create obtainable and positive goals that can be achieved. We must once again begin to recognize the difference between success and failure and we must not be afraid to respond accordingly. We need to memorialize our goals in writing, individually and collectively.

A country codifies its goals and aspirations as national doctrines and policies for all to see, understand, and when appropriate, challenge. It’s difficult to hold anyone or any country accountable for indistinct goals. Clarity is essential. Beware of people and leaders that don’t speak in a manner that is not authentic, always couched in something other than simple declarative phraseology. If a speaker does not speak with clarity, they either don’t want to be held accountable for results or worse, they wish to deceive you. Clarity in communication is vital and must always be a given.

Remember the old meme “if his lips are moving, he’s lying”? Let’s just change that a tad and create our own new meme; f you can’t understand what he’s saying or it does not make sense, he’s lying.” Let’s all be a little less forgiving when we are obviously being manipulated. Conversely, we have to retrain ourselves to accept responsibility for our actions, even when it hurts. This is a sea change from our experiences over the last 40 years in how our schools have been indoctrinating our children, now adults, to believe that a no harm, no foul life is possible. It doesn’t even sound like it could be that way when you say it out loud, even as millions and millions of us under 40 live our daily lives.

It is not just possible; it is essential that we be able to communicate in a common tongue. And, I don’t mean language either, even though that’s an obvious prerequisite. We must be able to understand each other. That requires that we not only listen, but we allow for the probability that we individually don’t know everything. Each of us cannot be on our own voyage of discovery/adventure without a definite destination in mind separate and apart from all others.  Life is random enough without adopting an anti- planning mentality. To do otherwise is to throw the dice and expect to win each time.

Always remember that the House always wins in the end, my friend. While our conversion to thinking, reflective and reasonable individuals should start when we are young, many of us skipped or were not taught those important school lessons. We should always keep in mind though, that all of us have the innate ability to change and, adapt to ever-changing conditions.

We should make the decision individually, and as a society, to leave this place better than we found it. To do otherwise is the abdication of our responsibility to our families, our country, our religion, and ultimately to ourselves. We have the power and the responsibility to affect change.

What will we do with that awesome responsibility? That’s the question, and I hope, the promise of a better tomorrow that is within our individual grasp!

God Bless America!

Allan J. Feifer

Author, Businessman, Thinker. Read more about Allan, his background and his ideas to create a better tomorrow at www.1plus1equals2.com

 

Allan

Laboratory One and “Former Persons”

Two things one must understand about evil. First, while everywhere, evil is frequently hidden from our view. Second, evil is seductive and attracts those to it that may live otherwise ordinary lives. It may help us to better understand evil as some kind of cult. Those that belong to the cult of evil are part of something semi-exclusive that not everyone can join. Evildoers frequently do things, which to them infer a sense of superiority and exclusivity for those on the inside.

Today I’ll share with you the chilling but true story of political poisonings and bioweapons hotly pursued by Russia, China, North Korea, Iran, and a couple more would-be contenders who feel little restraint in pursuing a path of pure evil to this day.

While on vacation, I read the book The Dancer and the Devil which is subtitled “Stalin, Pavlova and the road to the great Pandemic” written by John O’Neil and Sarah Wynn. Have you ever considered that some of the seemingly most complex issues are a product of people looking for that complexity when the answers are simple? So, it is with this story as well. We’ll begin today with the end of the story and work our way backward.

This story’s title begins with the term “Laboratory One.” That is what Joseph Stalin called his poisoning and bioweapons labs, commencing back in the 1920s and continuing to this day. Stalin used poisons that created both natural-looking deaths when he desired stealth, and horrible deaths when he wanted to make a public point. Stalin killed his enemies both internally and externally. He was particularly cruel to ex-pats who had the temerity to criticize him. He frequently “recalled” emigres that had fled Russia in the early days, commanding them to return. His purpose in recalling these people was to be able to kill those that returned quietly, beyond prying eyes. Stalin was ruthless, frequently killing entire families to underscore his authority.

Among those emigres that Stalin truly hated was Anna Pavlova, generally considered to be the most famous of all the diva prima ballerinas.  She died in Europe of poisoning in 1931 after refusing to return to Mother Russia.  These sudden unexplained deaths became so common that the phrase “Previous Persons” was coined, referring not only to the deaths of some people but to the way the Soviet Union would rewrite history by completely removing someone from all records, photos, newspapers, and all other ways that would allow someone to live on in memory, sadly, killing entire families also became too common.

Up until 1956, Communist China and Communist Russia were joined at the hip. This meant there were few secrets between the two countries that saw themselves divvying up the world. Soon, new Laboratory Ones popped up in China. China already had a historic association with targeted poisonings. With Stalin’s help, China soon became a contributing member of the cult of death.

But something happened that changed everything, all at once. The introduction of the Atomic Bomb was a watershed moment for Stalin. It became apparent to Stalin in the 50s that the age of the Atomic Bomb could prevent the Soviets and their close associates, the Chinese, from destroying the west through conventional means as had been his long-term intention. Stalin’s Laboratory One would still go on to kill millions of his own people and others over three decades, but now, it had a new, even more, urgent mission; how to kill your enemies not with rockets, but with microbes or other toxins. Even after the split between the Soviet Union and China in 1956, the writing was on the wall and China was still taking notes. To underscore this point, it is widely known that some Russian ICBM’s payloads were not nuclear, but biological, to be used after a Russian first strike.

The 1972 UN Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production and Stockpiling of Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and their Destruction” was the follow-on to the 1925 Geneva Convention. All major nations, including Russia and China, signed on and then promptly forgot about by the latter two. Importantly, the West, collectively and practically have given a false reliance to their people that Russia and China mean what they say, despite evidence to the contrary. The naivete of the West is hard to phantom. Whether we are talking about climate change or nerve agents that Putin has deployed against his own people and others, Russia continues to do what is in its ruthless self- interest. Programs like Operation Bonfire and Operation Flute run today as we speak, all known to US and foreign intelligence agencies and all conveniently swept under the rug so our political leaders don’t have to deal with these inconvenient truths that might require a consequential response.

Given that Russia continues to look for ways to annihilate us while keeping its public skirts clean with at least the semblance of plausible deniability, what’s China doing? The end of the Chinese Spring was clearly demonstrated at Tiananmen Square in 1989. Tank Man stood in front of a main battle tank and seemed to fulfill our wishes to see individual freedom defeat the Monsters. That’s the lingering memory that so many of us had. How many of us knew that 10,000 died in that same event? More uncounted dead followed as China reapplied its Iron Glove. That was the starting point for an ascendant and once again brutal China after a short period of economic and social freedom.

Xi came to power in 2012. Putin assumed power in 1999. Both held the belief that the decadence of the West’s influence on their two countries would inevitably lead to a liberalized and indulgent population unwilling to declare its unwavering allegiance to Putin and Xi. Such a condition would be untenable for these two tyrants.

While each pursued different objectives, their aims are aligned. Russia became focused on its territorial ambitions and the defeat of NATO, while China created its economic warfare plan, which is called the Belt and Road Initiative.  China’s plan is more diabolical in its cerebral and patient approach to the world or at least hemispheric domination. While Putin’s goals are more clearly focused on the utter destruction of its enemies clearly and completely. Putin and Xi each use their vast resources to create ever more deadly targeted and indiscriminate biologicals and toxins designed to kill tens of millions.

It was not Laboratory One that released COVID-19 on an unsuspecting world but the Biolabs of Wuhan. One does not have to look far to find a detailed listing of all the undeclared, but suspected bioweapons labs in China. Not coincidentally, there is another Chinese PLA lab also located in Wuhan. Until the release of COVID, various Chinese military names and ranks were prominently displayed on the roster at the Wuhan Virology lab. It is a fact, not in dispute, that all the original Covid-19 Doctors and their research have joined the disappeared, never to be heard from again. This is what the guilty do.

It now appears to be the West’s policy to not confront China on the origins of COVID. As a matter of policy, what would our nation, and other Western nations do if it could be proven that a weaponized (Change of Function) COVID was either deliberately or accidentally released upon the world? There is ample evidence that China was either buying up or sharply reducing exports of everything you would need to fight and protect against this killer virus. China has stubbornly fought back against any assertion that China is in any way responsible for COVID-19 well before the Pandemic was well known. There are no if’s, and’s, or buts about it. If you needed any more proof, the introduction of China’s most feared Special Forces unit, the Fifteenth Airbourne Brigade moved in to take charge late in 2019 to seal off access to the lab and provide overall security and political cleanup. Curiously, Chinese PLA soldiers in Wuhan were vaccinated against Covid months before Trump’s miracle in our country. More proof that this was a military weapon by design.

Yusen Zhou was a government bioweapons scientist who filed for a patent for a vaccine against COVID- 19 before the outbreak even happened. We should ask him why he developed the vaccine, but we can’t, he’s dead and all his notes, even his life’s story are now unknown. He is one of the thousands the Chinese have declared to be new Former Persons.

I better stop right here or I as well might become one of the disappeared that happen all too frequently when you displease Xi or Vladimir Putin. There is evil in this world. And, you don’t have to look too far to find it. History has a strange way of repeating itself. Hopefully, we stay engaged and learn we have two twin Devils to fight. The first step is by believing that evil exists and that we are among those they covet. We live our charmed and indolent life all too precariously. We must be more on guard if we are to survive and prosper.

God Bless America!

Allan J. Feifer

Author, Businessman, Thinker. Read more about Allan, his background and his ideas to create a better tomorrow at www.1plus1equals2.com